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關(guān)于PETS的閱讀以及翻譯
There were two widely divergent influences on the early development of statistical methods. Statistics had a mother who was dedicated to keeping orderly records of governmental units (state and statistics come from the same Latin root status) and a? gentlemanly gambling father who relied on mathematics to increase his skill at playing the odds in games of chance.???
The influence of the? mother on the offspring, statistics, is represented by counting, measuring, describing, tabulating,? ordering,? and? the taking? of? censuses? --all? of? which? led? to? modern? descriptive statistics. From the influence of? the father came? modern? inferential statistics,? which? is based squarely on theories of probability.??
Descriptive statistics involves tabulating, depicting and describing collections of data. These data may be quantitative such as measures of height, intelligence or grade level --variables that are characterized by an underlying continuum --or the data may represent qualitative variables, such as sex, college major or personality type. Large masses of data must generally undergo a process of summarization or reduction before they are comprehensible. Descriptive statistics is a tool for? describing? or summarizing or reducing to? comprehensible? form the properties of an otherwise unwieldy mass of data.??
Inferential statistics is a formalized body of methods for solving another class of problems that? present? great??? difficulties? for? the? unaided human? mind.? This? general? class? of? problems characteristically involve? attempts? to? make? predictions? using? a? sample? of? observations.? For example, a school superintendent wishes to determine the proportion of children in a large school system who come to school without breakfast, have been vaccinated for flu, or whatever. Having a? little knowledge? of? statistics,? the? superintendent? would? know? that? it? is unnecessary? and inefficient to question each child: the proportion for the entire district could be estimated fairly accurately from a sample of as few as 100 children. Thus, the purpose of inferential statistics is to predict or estimate characteristics of a population from a knowledge of the characteristics of only a sample of the population.
統計學(xué)?
統計方法的早期發(fā)展受到兩種截然不同的影響。? 統計學(xué)有一個(gè)"母親"，她致力于井井有條地記錄政府機構的文件(國家和統計學(xué)這兩個(gè)詞源于同一個(gè)拉丁語(yǔ)詞根，status)，還有一 個(gè)有紳士般的賭博"父親"，他依靠數學(xué)來(lái)提高賭技，以便在幾率的游戲中取勝。? "母親"對其子女統計學(xué)的影響表現在計數、測量、描述、制表、歸類(lèi)和人口普查。? 所有這些導致了 現代描述統計學(xué)的誕生。???
由于"父親"的影響則產(chǎn)生了完全基于概率論原理的現代推理統計 學(xué)。? 描述統計學(xué)涉及對所收集數據的制表、制圖和描述。? 這些數據可以是數量性的數據，如高度、智商、或者是層級性的數據--具有連續性的變量--或數據也可以代表性質(zhì)變量，如 性別、大學(xué)專(zhuān)業(yè)或性格類(lèi)型等等。???
數量龐大的數據通常必須經(jīng)過(guò)概括或刪減的程序才能為 人所理解。? 描述統計學(xué)就是這樣一個(gè)工具，它對極其龐雜的數據進(jìn)行描述、概括或刪減，使其變成能為人理解的東西。? 推理統計學(xué)是一套已定形了的方法體系，它解決的是光憑人 腦極難解決的另一類(lèi)問(wèn)題。???
這類(lèi)問(wèn)題的顯著(zhù)特點(diǎn)是試圖通過(guò)取樣調查來(lái)作出預測。? 例如， 有一位教育督察想知道在一個(gè)龐大的學(xué)校系統中，不吃早飯就上學(xué)的學(xué)生、已經(jīng)做過(guò)防感冒免疫的學(xué)生，或其它任何類(lèi)型的學(xué)生占多大比例。? 若具備一些統計學(xué)的知識，這位督察應 明白，詢(xún)問(wèn)每個(gè)孩子是沒(méi)有必要而且沒(méi)有效率的，只要用100 個(gè)孩子為樣本，他就可以相當 精確地得出這些孩子占整個(gè)學(xué)區的比例了。? 因此，推理統計學(xué)的目的就是通過(guò)了解一個(gè)群體中一些樣本的特性，從而對整個(gè)群體的特性進(jìn)行推測和估算。
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